{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Rainbow Dash Network","provider_url":"http:\/\/rainbowdash.net\/","type":"link","title":"Matt (zeldatra)'s status on Tuesday, 05-Nov-19 23:41:15 UTC","author_name":"Matt (zeldatra)","author_url":"http:\/\/rainbowdash.net\/zeldatra","url":"http:\/\/rainbowdash.net\/notice\/5466350","html":"@drinkingpony<\/span><\/a><\/span> There\u2019s 100% a path to re-election that doesn\u2019t involve Virginia, which is why I\u2019m confused why he\u2019s targeting this state. He\u2019s planning to offset potential losses in PA, WI, and especially MI by flipping Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, and New Mexico. Problem is Clinton won three of those states by 5% or more and they only got more Democratic in elections after that. Realistically I could see him winning New Hampshire and maybe Nevada, which is TECHNICALLY enough assuming he loses the Great Lakes and wins Maine\u2019s second congressional district, but it\u2019s not at all a comfortable margin, and Democrats winning even one more electoral vote (ie by winning Nebraska\u2019s 2nd congressional district) would screw him. His best path to victory is maintaining states he already won, not winning new ones, and going after the swing states that went for Clinton is a very weird move."}