1.0 link Rainbow Dash Network http://rainbowdash.net/ Matt (zeldatra) http://rainbowdash.net/zeldatra http://rainbowdash.net/notice/5464405 What people don't get about polls, and what they especially seemed to not get after Trump was elected, is that capturing 51% in a poll is just that - a 51% chance that you win. Clinton's lead in key states was always narrow and the fact that she underperformed some of them (and the fact that she overperformed a lot of others, like in Texas, Georgia, and Arizona, which were a lot closer than most pollsters predicted they would be) doesn't make the poll &quot;wrong&quot;. It just means the less-likely thing happened, and as it turns out, unlikely things happen pretty frequently. Statistics! <br /><br />That's why you don't want to have a two-point lead in a statewide poll, as Clinton did in several, and as Trump currently has in some SUPER red states. You want to have a ten-point lead, as Biden does in several - and even that doesn't create a guaranteed win, it just creates a more likely win.